Forecast Results

December 28, 2016 ~21:38 JST northern Ibaraki Depth ~10km M6.3
December 31, 2016 ~05:08 JST off the coast of Fukushima Depth ~20km M5.6
January 5, 2017 ~00:44 JST off the coast of Fukushima Depth ~60km M5.3
January 05, 2017 ~02:53 JST off the coast of Fukushima Depth ~30km M5.8
Forecast published December 22, 2016 Inland M5.0± Seabed M6.0±

December 20, 2016 ~01:41 JST off the coast of Fukushima Depth ~30km M5.5
Forecast published December 15, 2016 Inland — Seabed M6.0±

November 21, 2016 ~06:59 JST off the coat of Ibaraki Depth ~10km M5.3
November 22, 2016 ~05:59 JST off the coast of Fukushima Depth ~10km M7.3
Forecast published November 14, 2016 Inland M5.0± Seabed M5.5±


October 20, 2016 ~11:50 JST Northeast Chiba Depth ~40km M5.3
Forecast published October 17, 2016 Inland M5.0± Seabed M5.0±


August 20, 2016 ~14:15 JST off the coast of Sanriku region Depth ~10km M5.3
August 20, 2016 ~18:01 JST off the coast of Sanriku region Depth ~10km M6.0
August 22, 2016 ~15:11 JST off the coast of Miyagi Depth ~30km M5.2
Forecast published August 11, 2016 Inland – Seabed 5.5±


Forecast Results archives

Earthquake Forecast

Weekly Earthquake Forecast Success

Our Latest On Target Forecast
EAL Weekly Forecast is uploaded every Monday and Thursday. We forecast short-term earthquakes in Japan; when, where and the magnitude. At present, forecasts are in Japanese and available by subscription. Below is a translation of a recent on target forecast. Click on the image for a full screen view.
EAL Weekly Forecast Right On Target for April and May

The forecast:
Published on March 17, 2016
Where – Blue squares show the area
When – March 19-25
Magnitude- Inland 5.0± Seabed 5.0±

The star represents the area where the actual earthquake occurred on March 22, 2016.

For more of our recent on target forecasts, go to our Japanese version website,
/blog/ and scroll down.

A primer for reading our forecasts

The top section shows the map of Japan. The tiles indicate the area according to our data analysis where a temblor may strike. Temblors are color-coded to indicate the level of magnitude. All of our forecasts are sequentially numbered. The first forecast of the year is numbered as 001. Follow the attached line to see the date of publication, magnitude for land and sea then the maximum shindo level .

Below the map is the calendar section. The date of publication is in red with an arrow indicating the date to show where the forecasts are; to the right of the arrow shows means the forecast is active. (To the left means the forecast is inactive therefore the color is grey.) On the left of the calendar shows further information for each forecast. Area, forecast number, magnitude for land and sea followed by maximum shindo levels for three categories – minimum 30 km from the earth’s surface, 30-60 km from the earth’s surface and over 60 km from the earth’s surface.
English translation of EAL website forecast


EAL Weekly Forecast is published twice a week and available through paid subscription only.
View past forecasts here or by clicking on any of the images below.